List of papers in 2020
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.132
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Recovery from double-dip recession expected in the second half of 2021 as vaccination unfolds.
Real GDP projections: -4.8% in FY 2020, +3.4% in FY 2021, +1.8% in FY 2022. -
Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly Vol.53
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Kansai’s economy at a crossroads: double-dip recession or recovery?
Vaccination and the structural transformation of exports are key.Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (February 2021)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2021 Q1 is an annualized -1.8% QoQ.
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.1% QoQ in 2021 Q1.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 94 (February 2021)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy expected to recover after bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture October report
Inbound
Inbounds » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: October report
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture September report
Inbound
Inbounds » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: September report
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture August report
Inbound
Inbounds » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: August report
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (January 2021)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q4 is an annualized +12.8% QoQ.
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.4% QoQ in 2020 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 93 (January 2021)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy expected to recover after bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (December 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q4 is an annualized +11.7% QoQ.
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.4% QoQ in 2020 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 92 (December 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy shows signs of recovery after bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Quarterly Vol.51
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Kansai’s economy is recovering but remains weak.
▶ APIR’s forecast for real GRP growth in Kansai is -5.2% in FY 2020 and +3.3% in FY 2021.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy: Analysis and Forecasts, No.130
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Quarterly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook improves thanks to a rebound in private consumption and exports but Japan’s economic recovery lags behind others
▶ Japan’s Q3 real GDP contracted an annualized +21.4% QoQ.
▶ We have updated our forecast for real GDP growth to -5.4% in FY 2020, and +3.8% in FY 2021.
▶ We forecast a core CPI inflation of -0.4% in FY 2020, and +0.5% in FY 2021.Although the decline in energy prices has decelerated, the consumption tax hike as well as the government’s free childcare program and the partial elimination of tertiary education fees will both put downward pressure on CPI inflation.
Download the full report for details.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (November 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecast updates
▶ Our forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q4 is an annualized +7.1% QoQ.
▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.2% QoQ in 2020 Q4.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 91 (November 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy shows signs of recovery after bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (October 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q3 is an annualized +18.9% QoQ.▶ We forecast a GDP deflator of -0.2% QoQ in 2020 Q3.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 90 (October 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy shows signs of bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Kansai Economic Insight Monthly Vol. 89 (September 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(Kansai)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Outlook: Kansai’s economy keeps deteriorating but shows signs of bottoming out
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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Japanese Economy Monthly Forecast (September 2020)
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast
Asia Pacific Economic Forecast » Monthly Report(JP)
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
Forecasts updates
▶ Our latest forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2020 Q3 is an annualized +12.4% QoQ.▶ We forecast a PCE deflator of +0.3% QoQ in 2020 Q3. In contrast, our GDP deflator forecast is -0.1% QoQ, reflecting the deteriorating terms of trade.
Download the full report for a detailed analysis.
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The number of foreign visitors and visit ratio by prefecture July report
Inbound
Inbounds » Inbound
/ DATE :
ABSTRACT
To a faster reading of “the signs of change” in tourism
Advance estimation of monthly indexes: July report